Guaireña vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
OLI
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
12O
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
12O
2 - 1
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 1
12O
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
12O
1 - 6
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |