Tercera Division G9 Round 14

Guadix CF vs Mancha Real analysis

Guadix CF Mancha Real
34 ELO 33
-17.6% Tilt -13.8%
10512º General ELO ranking 7408º
840º Country ELO ranking 337º
ELO win probability
45.3%
Guadix CF
29.2%
Draw
25.5%
Mancha Real

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
Guadix CF
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
25.5%
Win probability
Mancha Real
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guadix CF
+94%
-15%
Mancha Real

ELO progression

Guadix CF
Mancha Real
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guadix CF
Guadix CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2003
BAZ
Baza
3 - 0
Guadix CF
GUA
44%
28%
29%
35 32 3 0
09 Nov. 2003
GUA
Guadix CF
0 - 0
Almería B
ALM
42%
25%
33%
35 35 0 0
02 Nov. 2003
UDS
UD San Pedro
2 - 0
Guadix CF
GUA
48%
27%
25%
36 35 1 -1
26 Oct. 2003
GUA
Guadix CF
0 - 1
Motril CF
MOT
39%
28%
33%
37 39 2 -1
19 Oct. 2003
MAR
Martos CD
0 - 1
Guadix CF
GUA
38%
29%
33%
37 32 5 0

Matches

Mancha Real
Mancha Real
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2003
MAN
Mancha Real
1 - 1
Antequera CF
ANT
56%
26%
18%
34 27 7 0
09 Nov. 2003
ALH
CD Alhaurino
3 - 1
Mancha Real
MAN
55%
26%
19%
36 37 1 -2
02 Nov. 2003
MAN
Mancha Real
0 - 1
Loja
LOJ
40%
28%
32%
37 36 1 -1
26 Oct. 2003
UBE
CD Úbeda Viva
0 - 2
Mancha Real
MAN
37%
30%
33%
36 27 9 +1
19 Oct. 2003
MAN
Mancha Real
2 - 1
Torredonjimeno
TOR
32%
29%
38%
35 39 4 +1