Liga MX Finals Cl. Playoffs. Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Chivas Guadalajara vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATS
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
4 - 1
MAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 2
CHI
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 3
AME
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JUA
0 - 1
AME
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
PUM
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
34%
26%
41%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |