Ambrosiana vs Manzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MES
0 - 1
GSD
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GSD
4 - 1
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GSD
1 - 2
SGS
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
GSD
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GSD
1 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MZN
3 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MZN
1 - 1
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 4
MZN
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MZN
2 - 0
VIR
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
MZN
34%
22%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |