Grumellese vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 2
GRU
17%
21%
61%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
CIS
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
GRU
21%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 1
GRU
13%
19%
69%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
FOL
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
PIA
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |