Groupe Bazano vs Tanganyika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
3 - 0
GBA
45%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 1
TSH
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
GBA
3 - 2
SAN
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
USP
1 - 2
GBA
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tanganyika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
USP
1 - 2
FCT
73%
17%
10%
|
10 | 64 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 1
FCT
70%
20%
10%
|
9 | 73 | 64 | +1 |