Groupe Bazano vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 2
FCT
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
3 - 0
GBA
45%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 1
TSH
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
GBA
3 - 2
SAN
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 0
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
USP
0 - 2
SIM
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 1
SIM
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 0
BFC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |