Groupe Bazano vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
LUB
2 - 1
GBA
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 1
GBA
41%
31%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GBA
0 - 1
DBL
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
GBA
1 - 0
SAN
49%
28%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
GBA
46%
30%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
TPM
3 - 0
SIM
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 0
DIB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 0
LUB
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
3 - 2
OPA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
DBL
1 - 1
SIM
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |