Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 26

Grossbardorf vs ATSV Erlangen analysis

Grossbardorf ATSV Erlangen
20 ELO 27
1.5% Tilt -2%
8914º General ELO ranking 6645º
405º Country ELO ranking 249º
ELO win probability
29.1%
Grossbardorf
22.2%
Draw
48.7%
ATSV Erlangen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
Grossbardorf
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
48.7%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grossbardorf
+13%
+33%
ATSV Erlangen

Points and table prediction

Grossbardorf
Their league position
ATSV Erlangen
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
18º
16º
41
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grossbardorf
ATSV Erlangen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Grossbardorf
ATSV Erlangen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grossbardorf
Grossbardorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
GRO
Grossbardorf
3 - 1
Feucht SC
FEU
36%
23%
41%
19 23 4 0
21 Apr. 2023
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 0
Grossbardorf
GRO
75%
15%
10%
20 31 11 -1
15 Apr. 2023
GRO
Grossbardorf
1 - 2
Bayern Hof
BAY
49%
22%
29%
19 19 0 +1
11 Apr. 2023
GRO
Grossbardorf
1 - 2
TSV Kornburg
KOR
40%
23%
38%
19 21 2 0
08 Apr. 2023
DJJ
DJK Bamberg
1 - 0
Grossbardorf
GRO
48%
23%
29%
20 21 1 -1

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
SVD
SV Donaustauf
3 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
52%
22%
27%
27 30 3 0
21 Apr. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
54%
21%
25%
27 25 2 0
14 Apr. 2023
WEI
Weiden
1 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
30%
22%
48%
26 20 6 +1
06 Apr. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 3
Ammerthal
AMM
64%
19%
18%
27 21 6 -1
24 Mar. 2023
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 3
Feucht SC
FEU
66%
18%
16%
30 22 8 -3
X