Grol vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
51.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RWG
1 - 1
GRO
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 2
HEI
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RHE
1 - 4
GRO
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
SIL
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
GRO
38%
24%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
4 - 0
HOO
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 4
ALV
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 0
TVC
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CON
0 - 3
ALV
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RKH
2 - 1
ALV
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |