Grimsby Town vs Man. City Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRI
5 - 1
PLY
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
GRI
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
GRI
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRI
0 - 0
BRA
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STO
1 - 3
GRI
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Man. City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 6
MCI
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EVE
6 - 3
MCI
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
3 - 3
CRY
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DER
1 - 3
MCI
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 3
BRO
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |