III Divisao round 21

Grijó vs Alba analysis

Grijó Alba
35 ELO 32
-6.1% Tilt -9.4%
23447º General ELO ranking 23455º
397º Country ELO ranking 405º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Grijó
23.1%
Draw
23.9%
Alba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
Grijó
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
Alba
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grijó
-52%
-19%
Alba

ELO progression

Grijó
Alba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grijó
Grijó
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2013
SAM
Sampedrense
0 - 0
Grijó
GRI
32%
25%
43%
34 27 7 0
17 Feb. 2013
GRI
Grijó
3 - 1
Avanca
AVA
63%
20%
17%
34 26 8 0
10 Feb. 2013
OLI
Oliveira de Frades
2 - 5
Grijó
GRI
25%
24%
51%
34 20 14 0
03 Feb. 2013
GRI
Grijó
2 - 0
Estarreja
EST
28%
26%
46%
30 43 13 +4
27 Jan. 2013
SAL
Salgueiros 08
1 - 0
Grijó
GRI
69%
19%
13%
31 41 10 -1

Matches

Alba
Alba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2013
ALB
Alba
1 - 1
Penalva Castelo
PEN
55%
22%
22%
33 29 4 0
17 Feb. 2013
UNI
Uniao Lamas
1 - 0
Alba
ALB
70%
19%
12%
34 45 11 -1
10 Feb. 2013
ALB
Alba
2 - 1
Oliveira Bairro
OLI
49%
23%
29%
33 32 1 +1
03 Feb. 2013
ALB
Alba
2 - 1
Sampedrense
SAM
55%
22%
23%
32 27 5 +1
27 Jan. 2013
AVA
Avanca
0 - 1
Alba
ALB
38%
25%
38%
32 25 7 0