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Denmark Fourth Division. Matchday 18

Greve vs Otterup analysis

Greve Otterup
12 ELO 10
33% Tilt 64%
10431º General ELO ranking 10323º
96º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
42%
Greve
22.1%
Draw
35.9%
Otterup

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
Greve
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.9%
Win probability
Otterup
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greve
+59%
+45%
Otterup

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Herlev
40
41
100%
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
37
37
50%
GVI
37
37
50%
Allerød
35
35
100%
B 1908
34
34
100%
Greve
32
32
100%
Taastrup FC
25
25
100%
Skjold Birkerød
22
22
100%
Otterup
18
18
100%
Vordingborg
10º
17
17
10º
100%
RB 1906
11º
8
10
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
Greve
Otterup
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Otterup
OTB
Greve
GRE
B 1908
B19
Skjold Birkerød
SKJ
GVI
GVI
Herlev
HER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greve
Greve
1%
X%
2%
ELO GRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2021
GRE
Greve
2 - 0
B 1908
B19
47%
27%
26%
182 151 31 +1
13 May. 2021
TAA
Taastrup FC
0 - 2
Greve
GRE
44%
27%
29%
182 88 -94 0
24 Oct. 2020
ALL
Allerød
3 - 2
Greve
GRE
41%
28%
31%
183 72 -111 -1
17 Oct. 2020
GRE
Greve
5 - 3
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
LED
45%
27%
28%
182 157 25 +1
10 Oct. 2020
HER
Herlev
0 - 2
Greve
GRE
42%
27%
31%
181 34 -147 +1

Matches

Otterup
Otterup
1%
X%
2%
ELO OTB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2021
OTB
Otterup
0 - 2
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
LED
46%
27%
27%
154 157 -3 -1
27 Mar. 2021
TAA
Taastrup FC
1 - 1
Otterup
OTB
41%
28%
31%
154 88 -66 0
13 May. 2021
VIF
Vordingborg
1 - 7
Otterup
OTB
46%
27%
28%
154 121 -33 0
24 Oct. 2020
HER
Herlev
2 - 0
Otterup
OTB
41%
28%
31%
155 33 -122 -1
17 Oct. 2020
OTB
Otterup
1 - 1
GVI
GVI
47%
27%
26%
155 96 59 0