Greuther Fürth vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
18º
12º
58
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 1
SGF
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SGF
1 - 3
KAI
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
F95
2 - 2
SGF
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SGF
1 - 1
KSC
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 0
SGF
7%
14%
79%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
PAD
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ROS
2 - 0
STP
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
STP
3 - 0
MAG
41%
25%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
KAI
2 - 1
STP
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STR
3 - 4
STP
3%
10%
87%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |