Greuther Fürth vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.8%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
91%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
14.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
20.4%
0-4
12.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
15.9%
0-5
8.2%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
-5
10.1%
0-6
4.5%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.4%
0-7
2.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.5%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.1%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
SGF
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SGF
0 - 2
WOL
18%
22%
61%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
M05
3 - 0
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 1
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STU
5 - 1
SGF
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BYM
7 - 0
RTV
89%
9%
3%
|
96 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
FCB
0 - 3
BYM
27%
20%
53%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 4
BYM
8%
14%
78%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 0
HER
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 12
BYM
2%
6%
92%
|
96 | 41 | 55 | 0 |