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Bundesliga. Matchday 6

Greuther Fürth vs Bayern München analysis

Greuther Fürth Bayern München
64 ELO 95
26% Tilt 48%
603º General ELO ranking
31º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
5.9%
Greuther Fürth
9.1%
Draw
85%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth
0.98
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
4.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
85%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
7.1%
2-5
2.5%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
5.2%
2-6
1.5%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
14.2%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
3.1%
2-7
0.8%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
9.3%
0-6
3.2%
1-7
1.6%
2-8
0.4%
3-9
0%
-6
5.3%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.8%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0.1%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
2-11
0%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
1-11
0%
-10
0.2%
0-11
0%
1-12
0%
-11
<0%
0-12
0%
-12
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greuther Fürth
-44%
+88%
Bayern München

Points and table prediction

Greuther Fürth
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
14º
18º
18º
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
13
89
82%
Wolfsburg
13
52
5%
B. Dortmund
12
82
16%
B. Leverkusen
10
77
1%
Mainz 05
10
43
12º
7%
SC Freiburg
9
45
11º
6%
Köln
8
56
6%
Union Berlin
6
46
10º
6%
Hertha BSC
6
46
6%
Hoffenheim
10º
5
49
6%
FC Augsburg
11º
5
23
16º
6%
RB Leipzig
12º
4
49
6%
Arminia Bielefeld
13º
4
21
17º
7%
Stuttgart
14º
4
47
6%
Eintracht Frankfurt
15º
4
38
14º
7%
B. Mönchengladbach
16º
4
40
13º
6%
VfL Bochum
17º
3
31
15º
7%
Greuther Fürth
18º
1
18
18º
10%
Expected probabilities
Greuther Fürth
Bayern München
Champion
0% 82%
Champions League
6% 18%
Europa League
5% 0%
Europa Conference League
6% 0%
Mid-table
58% 0%
Relegation playoffs
7% 0%
Relegation
18% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
Greuther Fürth
SGF
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
Köln
KOL
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
Rukh Lviv
RYV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greuther Fürth
Greuther Fürth
1%
X%
2%
ELO SGF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2021
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 1
Greuther Fürth
SGF
66%
20%
15%
1243 2049 806 -5
11 Sep. 2021
SGF
Greuther Fürth
0 - 2
Wolfsburg
WOL
24%
25%
51%
1250 2345 -1095 -7
28 Aug. 2021
M05
Mainz 05
3 - 0
Greuther Fürth
SGF
62%
22%
17%
1587 2187 600 -10
21 Aug. 2021
SGF
Greuther Fürth
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
47%
27%
26%
1588 1608 -20 -1
14 Aug. 2021
STU
Stuttgart
5 - 1
Greuther Fürth
SGF
57%
23%
19%
1600 2098 498 -12

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
7 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
80%
12%
8%
3621 1490 2131 +2
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3567 3643 76 +57
11 Sep. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Bayern München
BYM
31%
27%
42%
3549 2788 -761 +13
28 Aug. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
82%
12%
6%
3548 2150 1398 +4
25 Aug. 2021
BRE
Bremer SV
0 - 12
Bayern München
BYM
12%
18%
70%
3547 94 -3453 +1