Greuther Fürth vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
72.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
SGF
1 - 0
F95
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
ENE
0 - 1
SGF
23%
22%
55%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
KÖL
1 - 4
SGF
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
SGF
1 - 1
ROT
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
COT
1 - 1
SGF
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
BYM
5 - 3
HSV
74%
17%
10%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1998 |
BIF
2 - 1
BYM
19%
23%
58%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
SCF
0 - 2
BYM
15%
20%
65%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
BYM
6 - 1
ROS
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
RWA
0 - 5
BYM
9%
18%
73%
|
93 | 54 | 39 | 0 |