Greuther Fürth vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OSN
5 - 1
SGF
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SGF
3 - 1
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
KAI
1 - 2
SGF
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TUS
3 - 0
SGF
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
SGF
0 - 0
FSV
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 1
FSV
54%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ING
2 - 3
MUN
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MUN
5 - 1
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
4 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 1
RWA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |