Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SHE
3 - 2
GRE
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
RUS
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
KID
5 - 1
GRE
41%
22%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 3
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
KID
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 3
SPA
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
SPA
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 3
STO
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |