Gresley vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
COL
6 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
BAM
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MOS
3 - 1
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 2
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
EAS
2 - 3
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 1
STO
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 1
SHE
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 0
SHE
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
SHE
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
EAS
1 - 1
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |