Non League Div One Northern Midlands. Jor. 28

Gresley vs Quorn analysis

Gresley Quorn
18 ELO 39
-2.9% Tilt 0.5%
10841º General ELO ranking 6602º
658º Country ELO ranking 310º
ELO win probability
11%
Gresley
16.5%
Draw
72.4%
Quorn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
Gresley
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
72.4%
Win probability
Quorn
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gresley
+13%
+7%
Quorn

Points and table prediction

Gresley
Their league position
Quorn
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
13º
20º
20º
66
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harborough Town
91
91
100%
Spalding United
89
89
100%
Anstey Nomads
88
88
100%
Hinckley LR
70
70
100%
Quorn
66
66
100%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
62
62
100%
Lye Town
61
61
100%
Corby Town
56
56
100%
Bedworth United
51
51
0%
Sutton Coldfield Town
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Walsall Wood
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Sporting Khalsa
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Boldmere St. Michaels
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Shepshed
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Coleshill Town FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Coventry Sphinx
16º
32
32
16º
0%
Cambridge City
17º
32
32
17º
0%
Rugby Town
18º
32
32
18º
0%
Rushden & Diamonds
19º
32
32
19º
0%
Gresley
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gresley
Quorn
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Gresley
Quorn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gresley
Gresley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
GRE
Gresley
1 - 4
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
15%
19%
66%
20 37 17 0
03 Feb. 2024
SPA
Spalding United
4 - 0
Gresley
GRE
80%
14%
7%
21 43 22 -1
27 Jan. 2024
HAR
Harborough Town
4 - 0
Gresley
GRE
83%
12%
5%
21 47 26 0
13 Jan. 2024
GRE
Gresley
1 - 2
Walsall Wood
WAL
13%
18%
69%
22 41 19 -1
06 Jan. 2024
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
0 - 3
Gresley
GRE
31%
23%
46%
22 18 4 0

Matches

Quorn
Quorn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
QUO
Quorn
3 - 1
Coleshill Town FC
COL
73%
16%
11%
38 27 11 0
27 Jan. 2024
SPO
Sporting Khalsa
0 - 4
Quorn
QUO
47%
23%
29%
37 37 0 +1
23 Jan. 2024
QUO
Quorn
1 - 1
Anstey Nomads
ANN
25%
23%
52%
36 46 10 +1
20 Jan. 2024
QUO
Quorn
0 - 0
Corby Town
COR
57%
20%
24%
37 33 4 -1
13 Jan. 2024
QUO
Quorn
1 - 0
Cambridge City
CAM
83%
11%
6%
38 23 15 -1
X