Gresley vs Long Eaton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ECF
1 - 3
GRE
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 0
NEF
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PIU
1 - 5
GRE
5%
12%
83%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 3
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 2
GRE
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Long Eaton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PIU
0 - 4
LON
4%
11%
85%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DEE
0 - 3
LON
12%
16%
72%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SLE
1 - 2
LON
8%
14%
78%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
LON
5 - 0
HEA
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LON
2 - 1
QUO
88%
9%
4%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |