Gresley vs Heanor Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
ANN
1 - 3
GRE
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DEE
0 - 3
GRE
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 3
GRE
9%
14%
78%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 2
HOL
91%
7%
2%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SLE
0 - 4
GRE
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Heanor Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
HEA
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HEA
5 - 3
ANN
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +4 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PIU
1 - 2
HEA
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
HEA
3 - 2
NEF
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DEE
4 - 1
HEA
53%
21%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |