Gresley vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 1
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CLI
3 - 3
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
WOS
2 - 1
GRE
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRI
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
ROU
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
FLE
2 - 3
BRI
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 1
FLE
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
FLE
2 - 0
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
EAS
0 - 1
FLE
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
FLE
2 - 1
CHO
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |