Non League Div One Northern. Jor. 28

Gresley vs Fleetwood Town analysis

Play responsibly. 18+
Gresley Fleetwood Town
31 ELO 49
5.8% Tilt -4%
ELO win probability
18.1%
Gresley
22.5%
Draw
59.5%
Fleetwood Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
Gresley
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.5%
Win probability
Fleetwood Town
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gresley
-37%
+40%
Fleetwood Town

ELO progression

Gresley
Fleetwood Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gresley
Gresley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
GRE
Gresley
0 - 2
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
53%
22%
25%
20 18 2 0
21 Mar. 2023
CHA
Chasetown
3 - 0
Gresley
GRE
62%
21%
17%
26 19 7 +1
18 Mar. 2023
HAR
Harborough Town
1 - 0
Gresley
GRE
66%
18%
16%
21 17 4 +2
04 Mar. 2023
GRE
Gresley
1 - 0
Bedworth United
BED
49%
23%
28%
16 16 0 +1
25 Feb. 2023
STN
St. Neots Town
1 - 1
Gresley
GRE
46%
22%
32%
13 15 2 +1

Matches

Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
FLE
Fleetwood Town
2 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
50%
26%
24%
56 51 5 0
18 Mar. 2023
DER
Derby County
0 - 2
Fleetwood Town
FLE
60%
23%
17%
62 54 8 +2
11 Mar. 2023
FLE
Fleetwood Town
1 - 1
Port Vale
POR
41%
27%
33%
53 53 0 +1
07 Mar. 2023
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
2 - 0
Fleetwood Town
FLE
56%
25%
19%
60 53 7 0
04 Mar. 2023
CHE
Cheltenham Town
1 - 0
Fleetwood Town
FLE
32%
27%
42%
48 55 7 -2