Gresley vs Clitheroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
BRI
2 - 2
GRE
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
GOO
2 - 3
GRE
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
OSS
2 - 1
GRE
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Clitheroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
CLI
4 - 2
OSS
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
CLI
4 - 1
BIS
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
CLI
2 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
FLE
4 - 0
CLI
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CLI
2 - 2
BRI
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |