Gresley vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
SLA
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
GRE
14%
20%
67%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TIV
0 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
41%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
COA
5 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 2
COA
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
CHA
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
BAS
45%
23%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 2
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |