Grêmio vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CRZ
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 0
GRE
17%
27%
56%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 1
OPE
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
ITU
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
4 - 1
SPO
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ITU
33%
30%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 3
ITU
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |