Grêmio vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 2
GRE
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
GRE
25%
27%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
SPO
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAX
85%
12%
3%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |