Grêmio vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATM
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
GRE
0 - 1
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
ATM
1 - 1
GRE
51%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
VIT
0 - 2
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
GRE
2 - 0
DES
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
ECS
0 - 0
ATM
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ECS
2 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
DES
0 - 1
ECS
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ATM
0 - 0
ECS
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
VIT
1 - 0
ECS
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |