Grêmio vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRE
42%
28%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GRE
23%
27%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
4 - 1
GRE
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 2
SCI
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FLA
4 - 3
BAH
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAH
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 3
DYJ
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |