Grêmio vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1990 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1990 |
CCP
3 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
1 - 0
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1990 |
VAS
2 - 0
CCP
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1990 |
CCP
3 - 2
OLI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1990 |
CCP
1 - 1
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1990 |
CCP
3 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |