Grêmio vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
LIG
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
LIG
0 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
41%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
AMF
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
AMF
2 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 4
AMF
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |