Grêmio Barueri vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRÊ
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 1
GRÊ
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
TAB
78%
14%
7%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
MIR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 3
COR
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
MIR
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 2
NOR
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |