Grêmio Barueri vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 1
GRÊ
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRÊ
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
CRA
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
GRÊ
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
3 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
DUQ
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAD
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |