Gremio Anapolis vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
IPO
1 - 0
GRE
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIL
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 2
IPO
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
ANA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
0 - 3
APA
45%
27%
29%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 3
APA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
APA
1 - 3
ANA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
APA
0 - 0
CRA
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JAR
3 - 1
APA
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |