Greenock Morton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LIV
0 - 3
GRE
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
STE
0 - 1
GRE
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 2
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 0
GRE
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
ICT
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 0
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
KIL
4 - 1
FAL
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
FAL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 2
ALL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 3
FAL
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |