Scottish Championship Promotion . Final
Global 4-0
Greenock Morton vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
AIR
0 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
ALL
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
AIR
0 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
AIR
3 - 2
COV
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
AIR
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
AIR
2 - 0
FAL
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
COV
0 - 2
AIR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |