Green Island vs Wanaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
4 - 1
OTU
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
QUE
0 - 2
GIA
18%
19%
63%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GIA
3 - 0
OTU
52%
20%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
NAF
1 - 2
GIA
5%
11%
85%
|
33 | 5 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
GIA
4 - 0
WNK
72%
15%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wanaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
MOS
4 - 1
WNK
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
WNK
1 - 5
OTU
30%
21%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
NAF
1 - 5
WNK
5%
11%
85%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
GIA
4 - 0
WNK
72%
15%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
WNK
5 - 2
DUN
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | +9 |