Green Island vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
9º
8º
26
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
GIA
29%
19%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
NOM
48%
20%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
4 - 5
GIA
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 7
CAS
6%
10%
84%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 4
CAS
7%
11%
82%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 7
DUN
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
DUN
42%
21%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |