Grays Athletic vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 4
WOR
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
STA
3 - 0
GRA
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 2
DUL
14%
22%
65%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HAV
5 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
BUR
69%
18%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 0
HAR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
HAV
1 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
DUL
1 - 1
WIN
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
STA
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |