Grays Athletic vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAI
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 2
GRA
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
TON
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
VCD
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
VCD
1 - 2
GRA
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 0
DUL
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
WIN
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 1
BIL
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
5 - 1
WIN
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |