FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 5-4
Grays Athletic vs Stotfold FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 2
GRA
19%
21%
61%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
MAL
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CTF
0 - 0
GRA
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
GRA
46%
26%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stotfold FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 2
GRA
19%
21%
61%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
STO
0 - 0
POT
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STO
3 - 2
AYL
54%
20%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 2
NEW
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |