Grays Athletic vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
14º
20º
17º
60
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
MAL
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BOW
3 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
ENF
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STO
0 - 2
GRA
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HEY
1 - 1
ENF
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
HEY
2 - 0
IPS
77%
13%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 0
HEY
24%
23%
54%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 3
HEY
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HEY
3 - 0
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |