Gravelines vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravelines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PAN
0 - 1
GRA
10%
15%
75%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HAZ
1 - 3
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
CAL
26%
27%
47%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 1
GRA
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAS
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
CHO
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
LYO
0 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
VIL
9%
17%
74%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
STL
36%
29%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
DRA
0 - 1
VIL
28%
29%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |