Grasse vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
16º
2º
36
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
TAM
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LYO
0 - 1
GRA
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 1
SAI
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 0
SÈT
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 0
GRA
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 3
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
0 - 0
HYE
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 0
CRF
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AUX
4 - 2
AUB
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 2
JUR
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |