Grange Thistle vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grange Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
ROC
23%
19%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MIT
4 - 1
GRA
62%
19%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 2
EAS
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
GRA
10%
15%
76%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
QUE
6 - 1
GRA
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
EAS
6 - 0
LOG
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 1
QUE
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 3
LOG
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HPH
3 - 3
LOG
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 0
IPS
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |