Grand-Leez vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand-Leez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ROC
3 - 2
GRA
17%
20%
63%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
PES
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRA
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 2
MOL
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LOY
2 - 3
GRA
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
AND
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
WEP
1 - 0
LIG
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LIG
3 - 2
CON
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PES
3 - 2
LIG
52%
22%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 2
NIS
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |