Granada vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
SAN
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
AGD
2 - 2
GRA
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
GRA
0 - 0
CDT
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
LPA
0 - 0
GRA
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
GRA
4 - 2
BAL
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
RON
1 - 2
RJA
27%
29%
44%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
RJA
1 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
NER
2 - 0
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
RJA
1 - 1
POL
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
BEN
0 - 1
RJA
16%
26%
59%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |