Europa League . Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Granada vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VCF
2 - 1
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
MFK
2 - 1
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 0
RSO
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 0
MFK
35%
25%
41%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 1
BHA
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LEI
3 - 1
MUD
26%
26%
47%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 1
MUD
32%
26%
43%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 0
WHU
65%
20%
15%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 1
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |