Granada vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ECI
0 - 0
GRA
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 2
SRQ
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 1
GRA
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 2
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
GRA
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
0 - 0
BET
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
LUC
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 0
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 3
LUC
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 2
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |