Segunda Liga 1,2,3. Jor. 12

Granada vs Lorca FC analysis

Granada Lorca FC
78 ELO 55
-7% Tilt 15.2%
343º General ELO ranking 19944º
25º Country ELO ranking 6130º
ELO win probability
73.5%
Granada
18.9%
Draw
7.6%
Lorca FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
Granada
1.96
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.9%
7.6%
Win probability
Lorca FC
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Granada
Lorca FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Granada
Granada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2017
NUM
Numancia
1 - 3
Granada
GRA
30%
26%
44%
78 73 5 0
14 Oct. 2017
GRA
Granada
2 - 0
Real Oviedo
OVI
56%
25%
20%
77 69 8 +1
11 Oct. 2017
GIM
Gimnàstic Tarragona
2 - 0
Granada
GRA
25%
25%
50%
78 70 8 -1
08 Oct. 2017
GRA
Granada
2 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
60%
24%
16%
77 69 8 +1
01 Oct. 2017
ALC
Alcorcón
1 - 2
Granada
GRA
23%
26%
51%
77 70 7 0

Matches

Lorca FC
Lorca FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2017
LOR
Lorca FC
2 - 2
Tenerife
CDT
17%
25%
58%
56 77 21 0
14 Oct. 2017
FCB
Barça Atlètic
1 - 0
Lorca FC
LOR
70%
19%
11%
56 66 10 0
11 Oct. 2017
LOR
Lorca FC
0 - 2
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
20%
26%
54%
57 74 17 -1
08 Oct. 2017
ALB
Albacete
2 - 1
Lorca FC
LOR
51%
27%
22%
57 59 2 0
30 Sep. 2017
LOR
Lorca FC
3 - 0
Cádiz
CAD
18%
25%
57%
55 74 19 +2
X